MANITOBA

Measuring Progress

Transparent Reporting on Government's Progress

Recidivism

Target: To reduce recidivism rates by three percentage points over five years

How we are doing now

Adult

Probation

14%

Conditional Sentence*

13%

Custody

26%

Youth

Probation

22%

Open Custody*

24%

Secure Custody*

20%

Deferred Custody*

36%

* – Measures flagged with asterisk fluctuate considerably each quarter

Adult Recidivism


Youth Recidivism

Individuals sentenced for criminal convictions have varying risk levels and receive different kinds of sentences depending on their record and the severity of the offence. For this reason, Manitoba Justice tracks seven different recidivism rates, three for adults and four for youth, according to the types of sentences imposed.

In Manitoba, we calculate recidivism as occurring when a person is convicted of a new offence and is returned to provincial custody within two years of release from jail or other correctional supervision. Some sentence types (non-probation sentences for youth and conditional sentences for adults) show considerable variation in their recidivism rates from quarter to quarter, which makes it difficult to identify upward or downward trends in these measures. For measures where trends are more easy to discern:

  • the recidivism rate for youth with a probation sentence decreased in the last quarter, from 25 per cent to 22 per cent;
  • following a probation sentence, adult recidivism rates have been consistent around 13 to 14 per cent in the last four quarters, after having been 15 to 16 per cent the year before; and
  • following a custody sentence, the adult recidivism rate has been consistent around 25 to 27 per cent in the last four quarters, compared to 30 to 33 per cent the year before.

Data Source

These measures are provided by Manitoba Justice’s community safety division using data from their correctional services information system.

There is no standardized definition or method of calculating recidivism, the rate at which people become re-involved in criminal activity. Manitoba Justice gathers recidivism data quarterly, which means our calculation counts the number of people whose sentences expired two years earlier and were re-convicted in the three-month time period we are looking at. When reviewing quarterly data, it is important to note that one individual could be re-convicted more than once over the two years since they were first released from jail or supervision, so a single person may be included in multiple quarterly reports. However, we do not believe that this occurs often enough to meaningfully affect the overall results. Other jurisdictions use different criteria, so their recidivism rate will look different from ours.

Why This Matters

Lowering recidivism rates means the system is succeeding in rehabilitating offenders, which means less crime in our communities and that offenders are increasingly able to live more fulfilled lives.

Next steps

Manitoba’s Criminal Justice System Modernization Strategy contains a number of elements designed to reduce recidivism.

Strategies aimed generally at crime prevention, by focusing on community mobilization, collaboration with police, and mental health and addictions, will also help reduce crimes committed by individuals with previous involvement in the justice system. Timely disposition of criminal matters also helps offenders enter rehabilitative programming earlier and for longer periods. The Responsible Reintegration Initiative ensures individuals released from custody have a plan and resources in place to assist with successful reintegration into society, reducing the risk of further criminal involvement.

Other related links

Welcome to Manitoba Measuring Progress!

Learn more about how your government is tracking against its priorities.

Don’t show this again