Measuring Progress

Transparent Reporting on Government's Progress

Lower Manitoba’s Greenhouse Gas Emissions

21.7 Mt CO2

Target: In its Carbon Savings Account (CSA), Manitoba set a greenhouse gas (GHG) reduction goal of no less than 1 Mt of CO2e cumulative reductions-for the period 2018-2022.

How we are doing now

Actions to reduce GHG emissions have been set out in the Made-in-Manitoba Climate and Green Plan and under the Climate and Green Plan Implementation Act. On June 11, 2019, based on the recommendations of the Expert Advisory Council, the Manitoba government established a cumulative GHG emissions reduction goal of one megatonne (Mt) for the period 2018 to 2022 carbon savings account (CSA).

The CSA is an innovative made-in-Manitoba approach to setting, tracking and reporting greenhouse gas emissions. The key features that distinguish the CSA from traditional GHG accounting systems are:

  • shorter five-year GHG goals, rather than temporally distant targets (e.g., 2030 or 2050)
  • measuring cumulative GHG reductions, rather than GHG reductions in a single year
  • a debit feature that rolls over any emissions reductions shortfall at the end of a CSA period into the following period to be made up for there

The Manitoba government has taken action to reduce emissions and achieve the reduction goal, including, but not limited to:

  • Early shut down of Manitoba Hydro’s Brandon coal-fired unit in August 2018.
  • Efficient trucking program announced in June 2019, with $11.7 million cost-shared provincial-federal support for incentives for fuel-saving devices and retrofitting on heavy-duty freight trucks.
  • Efficiency Manitoba filed its proposed 2020 to 2023 energy efficiency in October 2019, which is now undergoing review by the Public Utilities Board. Efficiency Manitoba forecasts average electricity savings of 393 GWh and average natural gas savings of 12.6 million cubic meters in its 2020/23 Efficiency Plan. It also forecasted an annual average GHG savings of 23,900 tonnes CO2e.

Data Source

Annual GHG emissions from the province of Manitoba (all sources of emissions) is measured, tracked and reported by Environment and Climate Change Canada.

GHG reductions will be measured against business-as-usual (BAU) emissions that represent provincial emissions under a counterfactual scenario, where no new measures are introduced. GHG reductions will be measured and reported annually in the Climate and Green Plan report and every five years in five-year GHG emissions reports.

The baseline represents annual forecasted (BAU) emissions in Manitoba throughout the 2018 to 2022 period.

Environment and Climate Change Canada maintains and reports GHG emissions annually, according to internationally-agreed accounting rules. The information includes historic annual emissions for Canada and each province and territory. The data is published two years following the year of emissions (e.g., we will not know Manitoba’s 2018 emissions until April 2020).

How we are doing over time

The figure below shows the historical Manitoba GHG emissions and the forecast emission reductions from current and proposed federal actions (2018 Additional Measures), compared to the business-as-usual forecast for Manitoba.

Historical Manitoba GHG Emissions & GHG Emissions Forecast

Why This Matters

Manitoba`s provincial greenhouse gas emissions reduction goal for the January 1, 2018 to December 31, 2022 period is one megatonne of carbon dioxide equivalent, relative to a forecast of the total greenhouse gas emissions that would have occurred in that period.

With the establishment of the greenhouse gas emissions reduction goal, the Manitoba government will establish and maintain a carbon savings account for 2018 to 2022 that tracks and reports emission reductions achieved in relation to the goal.

Next steps

Any shortfall in achieving the 1Mt goal must be added to the subsequent CSA period as part of the debit future of the CSA, to ensure there is no relaxation of effort in reducing emissions.

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